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# Propensity Modeling
- URL: https://www.adlingo.org/glossary/propensity-modeling/
- Published: 2025-01-15T09:56:00.000Z
- Updated: 2025-01-15T09:56:00.000Z
- Description: Statistical analysis that predicts the likelihood of specific audience segments to take desired actions or convert.
- Author: Travis Lusk
- Tags: Measurement, #glossary, #Import 2026-10-27 17:05

A model that scores your audience by their likelihood to convert. The inputs are behavioral signals, purchase history, demographic attributes, and whatever first-party data you have. The output is a ranked list: high propensity, medium propensity, low propensity. You target accordingly. The model is only as good as the training data and the conversion definition. If your conversion events are poorly tagged or your data is thin, the model finds patterns in noise.